Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002502 0.002655 0.002820 0.003010 0.003226 0.003465 0.003752
2025-03-30 0.002256 0.002462 0.002694 0.002981 0.003331 0.003751 0.004309
2025-04-06 0.002055 0.002284 0.002553 0.002898 0.003342 0.003911 0.004733
2025-04-13 0.001925 0.002171 0.002467 0.002861 0.003392 0.004116 0.005251
2025-04-20 0.001767 0.002008 0.002303 0.002704 0.003258 0.004040 0.005333
2025-04-27 0.001699 0.001949 0.002263 0.002701 0.003329 0.004261 0.005927
2025-05-04 0.001668 0.001935 0.002277 0.002769 0.003504 0.004665 0.006966
2025-05-11 0.001616 0.001889 0.002244 0.002767 0.003573 0.004908 0.007795
2025-05-18 0.001598 0.001886 0.002269 0.002847 0.003777 0.005424 0.009489
2025-05-25 0.001550 0.001840 0.002229 0.002827 0.003815 0.005643 0.010597
2025-06-01 0.001496 0.001783 0.002171 0.002775 0.003791 0.005733 0.011406
2025-06-08 0.001480 0.001777 0.002184 0.002833 0.003965 0.006272 0.014234
2025-06-15 0.001456 0.001759 0.002183 0.002873 0.004121 0.006848 0.018421
2025-06-22 0.001413 0.001715 0.002140 0.002843 0.004143 0.007116 0.021937
2025-06-29 0.001361 0.001655 0.002072 0.002765 0.004063 0.007106 0.023791
2025-07-06 0.001324 0.001616 0.002032 0.002731 0.004066 0.007325 0.028593
2025-07-13 0.001261 0.001537 0.001929 0.002586 0.003831 0.006822 0.025010
2025-07-20 0.001238 0.001514 0.001911 0.002583 0.003888 0.007179 0.032567
2025-07-27 0.001232 0.001516 0.001929 0.002646 0.004089 0.008058 0.063367
2025-08-03 0.001211 0.001495 0.001912 0.002644 0.004151 0.008522 0.121459
2025-08-10 0.001208 0.001501 0.001936 0.002717 0.004395 0.009807 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001185 0.001476 0.001912 0.002699 0.004422 0.010251 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001157 0.001443 0.001872 0.002651 0.004370 0.010325 NaN